Problem set #1

POL 360
Fall 2012
Problem Set #1
Due Tuesday, September 4, 2:00 p.m. in either a hard copy or by email

Problem sets are due by the beginning of class. Late assignments will not be accepted and cannot be made up. If you cannot make it to class, email your answers to me so that I get them before the start of class. If your assignment is handwritten, take a picture of it with your phone and email it to me. If you don’t have a phone that can do that, get a better phone or, failing that, make friends with someone who has a better phone. You may turn in problem sets individually or as a group. If you complete a set as a group, the group should return one copy of the completed assignment with all group members named in writing. All group members will receive the same grade. Groups may be called upon to explain their answers to the class, and should be prepared to present their work.

Assignment: present each of the following in the extensive form. Include decision nodes, branches, and payoffs. Be prepared to explain why you assigned the payoffs you did.

  1. Israel chooses whether or not to launch an airstrike against Iranian nuclear sites. Iran chooses whether or not to instruct Hezbollah to attack Israel. Hezbollah chooses whether or not to attack Israel.
  2. The government of Iraq chooses whether or not to build unconventional weapons, but its decision is hidden from the government of the United States. The U.S. chooses whether or not to mount a military entry into Iraq. If the U.S. enters Iraq, the Iraqi leadership chooses whether to stand and fight or to accept exile.
  3. The United States can stage an overt military intervention to aid the Free Syrian Army, it can aid the FSA covertly, or it can do nothing. China can choose whether or not to arm the current Syrian regime.