Paper #2 - China

Due Monday, November 12, noon, emailed to

3-5 pages, double-spaced.

Assignment will be marked down for each day or fraction of a day late (that is, if you send it at 12:01 p.m. on November 12, it’s late). 

Students turning in papers containing plagiarism will fail the course.

Topic: Does the growth in economic ties between China and the outside world tend to reduce the chances of war, to have no effect on the chances or war, or increase the chances of war? 

Sources: Your paper should refer to the Shirk and Bader books plus at least four articles from mainstream news sources (The Economist, The New York Times, Washington Post, CNN, BBC, Wall Street Journal, etc.). The news sources you use must have been published after January 1, 2012. There is no need to research more extensive background material from books, government documents, etc. 

Sources must be cited properly, using a consistent citation format (e.g. MLA, APA, or Chicago).

Grades will be based on three things:
  • Writing. The paper must have a clear thesis, stated early. The rest of the paper should contain facts and logic that support the thesis, and should properly cite sources.
  • Analysis of Chinese security issues. What are the likely scenarios for war?
  • Analysis of Chinese politics. What mechanisms might, in principle, cause economic ties to restrain Chinese leaders, and are these operating now?
There is, of course, no one right answer to any of these questions; you will be graded on the thoughtfulness of your analysis. You should make a specific prediction in the paper, not advocate a particular policy. In other words, explain what China or other states will do, not what you think they should do.